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[AUDKRW] Forex Forecast & Analysis - 2022 Q3 본문

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[AUDKRW] Forex Forecast & Analysis - 2022 Q3

Archmage Ayin 2022. 7. 23. 22:27
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<This post will be updated till the end of September, 2022>

 

[22nd of July]

Right now, the Aussie dollar seems to take some break. Or it may sense some uncertainty over the global economy. 

 

AUD/USD Price Forecast – The Australian Dollar Gives Up Early Gains in Signs of Exhaustion

The Australian dollar initially shot higher against the US dollar on Wednesday but gave up gain rather quickly as it may have gotten a bit overextended.

finance.yahoo.com

And later this week, we all experienced somewhat bullish in the stock market. Yet, that would be temporary - the earning surprise may sounds good - yet no one knows. Remember, most businesses cut the employment rate to endure their financial sustainability. Even Microsoft was not exception - they cut job openings.

 

Microsoft Cuts Job Openings as Big Tech Worries About U.S. Economy

Apple, Google, and Github have also pulled back on hiring recently.

gizmodo.com

And Ukraine between Russia seem to make some negotiation - which triggered the wheat price to fall. Remember, this is not a permanent and Russia attacked Ukraine just less than a day they made the aggrement. Hold on, none of these rumors were not confirmed in my sight - except that wheat export issue.

 

So, two things are confirmed: (1) wheat export may begin (2) no conditions for a peace negotiation for now

 

Ukraine war: Deal signed to allow grain exports to resume by sea

The agreement will allow millions of tonnes of grain, trapped in Ukraine by the war, to be exported.

www.bbc.com

And if you forgot about the variant issue of Covid-19, get ready to face the fear. This 'centaurus covid' is seriously underestimated by the public. More people will stay in sickbay, and more people will lose their life like years ago. 

 

Hence, I do not see any significant reason for AUD to fly high - like 2011. 

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